
Originally published on
Harvard Business Review
It's
that time of year again — time to take a stab at what's going to matter
in the year ahead as technology continues to influence how we work and
live. In
previous years,
I've looked at trends under the "social media" lens because that has
been the major disruptive force, creating both opportunities and
threats. This year, I'm using the umbrella term "social-digital" to
broaden the focus. First, a quick re-cap from the last year:
While I didn't specifically connect it to the election,
social sharing was
a trend I cited and one that many of us felt because of the election.
You couldn't get away from Facebook posts and streams of tweets from
friends who were all too happy to leverage their networks to talk
politics, often sharing posts and memes in support of their candidate
(Big bird, binders and bayonets anyone)?
And social TV, another trend I saw growing, has continued to gain
steam, though interestingly enough it has been TV itself fueling the
trend. For example the popular series The Walking Dead has been
experimenting with simple Twitter hash tags for each episode in addition
to the official one connected with the series. Social entertainment
platforms however like Get Glue, which was recently
acquired for 25 million in cash have yet to go mainstream.
What has gone mainstream, however, is the micro-economy fueled by once unknown entities such as
Kickstarter. Individuals are now raising thousands and
even millions of
dollars without a middleman thanks to crowdfunding. On the flipside,
gamification has lost some of its luster, taking a backseat to useful
functionality. A recent Gartner study urges us not to "believe the
hype." I may have been too caught up by the promise of making
experiences sticky via serving up rewards, when this comes at the
expense of raw utility.
The cult of influence continues to attract a following with new digital influence measurement services like
Little Bird receiving funding, followed by studies crowning the
most influential CMOs.
So what can we potentially expect to see next year? In no particular order, here are six social-digital trends to watch in 2013:
The Content Economy Content may become your
company's most valuable asset in 2013. For years Google has been
refining it's algorithm cracking down on unsavory tactics that
compromise the quality of search results. The algorithms are good enough
now that the most compelling content dominates search results.
Organizations must create compelling content to exploit this.
Some already have, including companies like
Coke and
Intel, who launched groups focused purely on content. Separately,
Facebook is making it's own changes, forcing companies to rely on both
creativity and spending (promoted posts) to ensure their content is seen
and shared. Brands like
Oreo may have unwittingly set the bar for
content creation for other organizations by pioneering a form of
"content marketing" putting out one piece of timely, relevant and highly
creative content every day as part of a campaign. In 2013, content will
not only be king, but queen, prince and jester, too.
Cyborg Central Think
your mobile phone is making you part computer? Now it has accomplices.
Gadgets like "fuel bands" and Google Glasses are just a preview of what
we'll see more of in 2013 as we begin to mesh machines with humans.
There are already
ski goggles which
display a tiny screen which lets you not only sync to your mobile
device but helps you determine where you are and how fast you are going.
As we move into the next year, the phrase "personal computing" will
begin to take on another meaning.
The Smobile Web Social + mobile = "smobile." While
there's no real insight in pointing out that both mobile and social are
going to be big in 2013, I believe they're becoming co-dependent, and
most businesses aren't ready for that. A smobile Web means your
customers, coworkers and colleagues expect their digital experiences
will be optimized for
mobile/social sharing and as a result spend less time tethered to a PC
or television.The technology for this is evolving rapidly. Near field
communication, or
NFC technology, for example, allows you to transfer data to your mobile device via a touch rather than scanning a
QR code,
which seems cumbersome in comparison. While Instagram developed for
smobile before the traditional web, Facebook is still playing catch-up,
but by the end of 2013 it may become one of the leaders. Will you be
ready for the smobile web?
Sensory Intelligence Sensors will get smarter and
become more pervasive. We already have cars that can help us parallel
park and seats that vibrate if we're too close to another vehicle. We
have
thermostats that learn based on how you use them, eventually programming themselves. In 2013 there will be
sensors built into athletes' helmets that
measure the impact of blows and provide real time data outputs thus
potentially preventing further injury. Sensors will be everywhere, in
our homes, transportation, technology, and clothing. They will become a
part of our lives and will tie into our existing devices and networks,
If our plants need water, we'll get a
text or tweet, and even a note of thanks. Now that's smart.
Social Commerce In many ways, social has mirrored
the original digital revolution. And when digital took on transactions
and financial exchanges, things really picked up. So it will go for
social as we begin to
buy each other gifts through social networks or even
set up a storefront. The idea of social commerce isn't new, but signs indicate that 2013 may be the year it actually begins to coalesce.
Data Surplus, Insight Deficit
Facebook has already begin rolling out its "Photo Sync" feature which
automatically downloads photos from your mobile device to Facebook
(privately). Some see this as a
land grab for data but
it's not the only one. "The cloud," "social data," or the overhyped
macro label, "big data" will dominate the tech conversation. While it's
true that more of our data is being collected, mined and stored, that
doesn't mean people know what to do with it. There aren't enough
qualified human beings (analysts, sociologists, strategists,
anthropologists etc) to mine all this data. But this won't last for
long. 2013 may be the year we focus less on data and start thinking
about how to understand, interpret and make good use of it.